What a way to celebrate the solstice.
Maybe we should have named this thread “2025: Let’s try BETTER!”
Trying again was already quite optimistic, but “better” seems outright unfeasable with how things usually turn out this century.
Forecasting models predicted that the current steep funding cuts could result in more than 14 051 750 (uncertainty interval 8 475 990–19 662 191) additional all-age deaths, including 4 537 157 (3 124 796–5 910 791) in children younger than age 5 years, by 2030.
Interpretation
USAID funding has significantly contributed to the reduction in adult and child mortality across low-income and middle-income countries over the past two decades. Our estimates show that, unless the abrupt funding cuts announced and implemented in the first half of 2025 are reversed, a staggering number of avoidable deaths could occur by 2030.
https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(25)01186-9/fulltext