I don’t have move suggestions, but some SDK maths (though I’m not too confident about my numbers): After the B7 variation white has 13 points on the left, black gains 8 in the corner. After black loses the B8 ko, white has 25 points, black gains none. So black loses 25 - 13 + 8 = 20 points, if black goes for B8 instead of B7 and loses the ko.
So black would need ko threats that are worth 20 points or more?
I think that’s about right. And I think white needs ~60 point ko threats or internal threats.
White doesn’t have 60+ points threats I think, but white has some internal threats and white will capture the ko first.
So the question is if black has more 20+ point threats than white has internal threats.
Those ideas are similar to the variation in the diagram above from move 7 (strengthening the center for black).
Except that the peep at J11 allows white to defend with perfect shape (solid connection), and black doesn’t get any other forcing moves around K10. So the J11 peep seems less effective than the J12 wedge in that variation.
The 2-space jump to K10 instead, expands the center a bit, but it is not a direct threat to white’s stones around J12, so white will probably ignore it and play elsewhere. So K10 feels a bit slow to me / too small to give up sente.
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For simplicity-sake, what is the basic framework white would expect if black can push the boundary all the way at the 11th line? Let’s say white can live on the LR with S9, and black doesn’t get to reduce the left side and keep it as it is.
The area above 12th line at minimum is 96+18 = 114, the LR is 20, and the left side is 41, that’s a total 175 (or black 186), which black would win by a small margin. So even if black doesn’t play crazy move to reduce the left side or ko and pretty lack in yose, it is still relatively ok for black. However, to seal the deal, a reduction at B7 is taking at least 7 points out of the 175, and white would need to gain it somewhere, pushing black below the 11th line or live larger on the LR would be necessary.
Now you understand why I preferred O5 N7 than any defense move like D18 (or even F12 K17). Any moves threatening to break in the lower side black moyo, or take out the LR black stones are really big ko threats.
I can see A5 and then D6 for white (black can back off after those moves, but then B7 would have been better). Black has F12 (and F14 if white connects at E13) and probably K17 and something that kills the lower right if unanswered (maybe O7 followed up by S6). That would be just enough for black, as white takes first.
If white answer F12 with E13 connect, D15 can also be a ko threat for black. Not to mention all the follow-up after K17 or M17, which would make black live inside white’s moyo or break through the moyo, they are all threats that are big enough I think (depends on how white answers, or hard to compare), but more likely white would run out valid ko threats quick (2 locally and maybe one in the LR) and has to take the ko and keep the left side or risk losing more.
I don’t think that white O5 or N7 or any other white move in the lower right is a 60+ point ko threat.
And if white gets in O5 before the ko starts (hoping to create aji and/or large ko threats), black could refuse to cooperate and just respond solidly at N4 (at least I would always do that with black to keep the shape thick and avoid bad aji). Then white still doesn’t seem to have any 60+ point ko threat in the lower side / lower right area.
Instead of that, white opted to build the upper side. White played at K12 when they had sente for the last time on move 58, almost 30 moves ago, maybe because white felt that losing sente defending the lower right was too slow at the time
In that vote, defending the lower right with N7 lost to creating a large moyo on the upper side with K12).
Who said white has to back off to play N7 if black back off to N4 in respond to O5? The corner 4 black stones are not alive.
Now white has the ko as well, if black tried to start a ko, white can refuse to play the ko and choose to take the LR corner in exchange for the top white group of the left side.
If 3 is played as an attempt for a 60+ point ko threat and black resolves the ko (killing lower left) to cash-in 60 points, then black could respond differently with 5 and save the corner with P2 (at that point black can afford to lose 30-ish points on the lower side and still end up winning).
So yes, white may be able to create 30-ish point ko threats, but those are too small to win the ko in the lower left.
If black start the ko at the moment after move 3? Then white doesn’t have to follow through the ko, just take the ko where black has to deal with both the lower left 4 stones is ko to live and the lower side black moyo is breaking through the bottom.
Why would black ignore white O4 to create the ko for the lower left?
I think black would only ignore O4 if the 60 point ko is already on the board and white plays O4 as a ko threat to recapture the ko.
So white only gets O4 and N3 in your sequence when black gets to capture the whole lower left unconditionally in return, i.e. in this kind of situation:
That also goes for any other forcing moves by white. When the ko is not active yet, black just responds. Black is not so deparate to create the ko that he ignores any white forcing move before the ko fight even started.
But when white makes that kind of exchanges in advance, black is happy to get extra profit and extra weaknesses in white’s lower right group, so black may not even create the ko in the lower left anymore.
So I don’t think white can get the timing right to make O4 an effective ko threat.
Also, I think that cutting at N3 to prepare a large ko threat is refuted by the wedge at P6: