Guess rank game

Alright, then I shall reveal the previous game.

Guesses:
12k - Kaworu_Nagisa
11k - Lord_o_o_Spoon
7k - bugcat
5k - Vsotvep
3k - Assai

And the answer is…

Summary

9p! … at least theoretically. Sorry for hoodwinking you guys…

Summary

Moves 3 - 26 are a sequence suggested by ELF OpenGo v2 after a million playouts of move 2, posted to the OGS forums in April 2019 by mark5000: ELF OpenGo weirdness

Summary

ELF OpenGo v2 gives that position an astounding 43 % for black. I played out the rest of the game with KataGo courtesy of ZBaduk, who sees black at 35 % at that point (LeeLa Zero even says 29 %). I always played KataGo’s favourite move once it had at least 12,000 playouts and was preferred to its second-favourite move by at least 0.3 pp decision and 0.3 pp winrate (which often meant much higher playouts, up to 1.7 million in one case). Here’s my OGS demo board relay: https://online-go.com/review/433241

Summary

Screenshot (the red line is LeeLa Zero’s winrate, but I only ever played KataGo’s moves): https://i.ibb.co/Xtmyt2z/Screen-Shot-2020-01-14-at-10-10-12-AM.png

Summary

Technically, Assai was closest, but Vsotvep gets second place for guessing it was a bot game. The bronze medal goes to Kaworu_Nagisa, whose answer constitutes the minimum amount of playouts for each move. :wink:

Summary

If anyone who guessed a rank lower than their own (by sixteen stones in Kaworu_Nagisa’s case) would like to fork a position and play it out as an unranked correspondence game against me relaying KataGo’s moves, I would very much welcome that. :slight_smile:

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