9x9 fast correspondence games, 2023 rounds.
It will start on the 1st of January 2023. 1048 registered players so far.
I set rules to avoid games that slow down the tournament too much.

Holy… This reads like a finalist story for a nomination “the shortest story about an existential dread in a Go setting.” I truly appreciate this, no kidding.

“Through the years” has 12 rounds. I think these 2023 rounds will finish first - is my first instinct, without an intuitive sense of how much two-thousand really is.

Analysis: at 6 moves per day (slowest permissible game not counting the starting time or pause/vacation “abuse”), 12 moves per day if one player is really quick to respond, a round could be about a week long. ~50 weeks a year, 40 years?

Through the years started in the middle of 2020, at 2.5 years per round we get to 30 years.

What is going to matter most, I believe: how timeouts end up reducing the pool of players. In both cases it might be that the pool is large enough that even dropping 90% of the “insufficiently committed” could still preserve enough slow players to not let later rounds go faster…

2023 rounds means more opportunities for people to time out - plus it being much less likely that people consistently keep up with the pace.

Conclusion: I actually didn’t find much to weigh in on my estimate…

I propose two more betting questions:

how many people will be left in “through the years” in the second or third rounds?

how many people will be left in “2023 rounds” by the end of 2023?

Looks like roughly 2000 players in each tournament. (“Through the years” claims 2233 players, while “2023 rounds” currently has 1909 players registered.)

Today we reached 2300 players (2311 now).
It will probably (unless a lot of players withdraw) be the biggest tournament started so far, through the years had 2233 players.
I think I’m aiming for 2500 but finding more players is becoming more and more difficult I think.

Out of curiosity, I checked right now and if I didn’t get something wrong there are exactly 2500 players signed up I was considering joining in just to make you happy about the number, but it seems I don’t need to do that

It started with 24 minutes delay and 2574 players.
Apparently there are two players without an opponent, PaulMartineau and Sistina, and I don’t understand why.

My guesses, some of them completely at random

How many days will the first round last? 19 days

How many players will there be in the second round? 1480

How many players will there be in the tenth round? 500

How many players will there be in the 100th round? 200

Which round will it be on the 1st of January 2024? 18th

Will all rounds be played or will the tournament end because only one player remains? If it ends prematurely, how many rounds will it last? 1000 rounds (?)

Who will win? Sofiam:dolphin: (joking, but I really have no idea)

How many years will the tournament last? 16

Will this tournament end before through the years? Considering that there are people against unpausing paused games and that they might “win”, yes.

When will a OGS tournament with more players than this start? I may try something similar again next year. If not, I don’t know.