Through the Years: Long Correspondence

Do you like this?
Dark tone is older, lighter is recent (more recent? recenter??? :slight_smile: ).

Edit: I made a mistake. Look for my next message for the right chart. :sweat:

Apparently we have a spike moving from 10k (20) to 8k (22).
The rest looks quite stable.

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Exactly what I meant. I’m one of the 8 kyu moving in the opposite direction. :blush:

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I messed up with colors. I’m so sorry.
The spike is actually moving from 8k to 10k!
Here is the correct chart:

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this is true, but I see this tournament as working more like the football league than the F.A. cup.
Play well and do well in your division and you will be promoted several divisions next season. Finish at the bottom of your division and you will be relegated. In how high a division can you end the tournament?
Sure you’re not going to win the tournament but then you never had any more chance of beating a 9d than Accrington Stanley have of beating Liverpool to the premiership anyway.
It means that you will never find yourself in a division where you are hopelessly outclassed and will always have a chance of winning it. Neither will your matches be walk-overs and you may have to fight to avoid relegation.
Your chart also shows that next season, around 300 of those initially classed as scum will be playing in the same divisions as around 100 of those initially classed as elite.
So play well and climb those divisions!

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Having one of the items on your bucket list as:
See who wins “Through The Years”
is a great way to ensure you have plenty of time for all the other items!

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Data update:

Total number of participants:          2233
Total number of players in this round: 2233 (100.00%)
-----------------------------------------------------------
The following data is about the current round only.
-----------------------------------------------------------
Disqualified or dropped out:            234 (10.48%)
Still competing:                       1999 (89.52%)
Number of groups:                       224
Progress: 4943 games decided out of 10038 (49.24%)
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Max. games decided by a single player:           9
Min. games decided by a single player:           0
Max. games still open for a single player:       9
Min. games still open for a single player:       0
Max. fraction of games done by a single player: 100.00%
Min. fraction of games done by a single player: 0.00%
Number of players having finished all games:    194 (8.69%)
Number of players having finished no games:     208 (9.31%)
-----------------------------------------------------------
Groups with all games finished:                  1 (0.45%)
Groups with no games finished:                   0 (0.00%)

disqualified
disqualified_weekly
progress
progress_weekly

Still many disqualifications. Actually second highest number this week.

On a different topic: ken12345 is currently in the lead with 8 points out of 7 finished games. :astonished: Sort of hard to beat …

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Yes, we have many players with too many points. I checked some weeks ago and there were six. They should have increased now.

We are almost at the turning point!

and still waiting for someone winning all of their games:

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Sorry, you’d guess wrong.
Most is the greater part, the majority. When there are only two options, that is anything over 50%
If I have 10 apples and you have 11, who has the most?
Q: Who got the most votes in the Brexit referendum?
A: Most (51%) of the votes went to “leave”.
We are very nearly at the point where most of the games have been decided.

They mostly come at night… mostly…

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Man, are you a maths teacher? For the record, I’ve been one, in a former life (say, during 25 years).
OTOH I’m not a native English speaker (not an excuse, but to balance the above argument). In French I would have say : “la plupart”, meaning “a large majority of”. But from my experience of conversation with native speakers, most of the time, most means a large majority, well over 50%, rather like 75% or more.But maybe I was wrong all along.

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Half of the games are done.

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Game against me will most likely end in a long time.

“Most” is an ambiguous word that can mean different specific things, depending on the context. Hence, I asked for clarification.

The word could be used to mean > 50%, such as in the various usages that you noted.

However, it could also be used to imply something much greater than 50% and closer to 100%, which is what @omote ultimately meant. For example, phrases like “most people do this” or “most people like this” are often used to imply an overwhelming majority, rather than just a slim majority.

Further, “most” does not even need to mean a strict majority, but can be used to refer to a plurality instead. For example, suppose there is a vote between three or more candidates. One could speak of a candidate receiving the “most votes” even if that candidate had less than 50%. Or imagine an Easter egg hunt, where you could say that one child (among many) found the “most” eggs, even if “most” is a fraction much smaller than 50%.

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Today we have 100 players losing all of their games and two winning all of their games.

First player reaching this difficult target was Wraith101. Kudos to him!

Then was Wisdom&compassion:

As displayed in the lower chart, this player went from 13k to 8k during these games. Well done!

We also have a single player with legitimate 8 points.
ShioRamen (9d+) is to date the leader of the board. :trophy:

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Data update:

Total number of participants:          2233
Total number of players in this round: 2233 (100.00%)
-----------------------------------------------------------
The following data is about the current round only.
-----------------------------------------------------------
Disqualified or dropped out:            262 (11.73%)
Still competing:                       1971 (88.27%)
Number of groups:                       224
Progress: 5282 games decided out of 10038 (52.62%)
-----------------------------------------------------------
Max. games decided by a single player:           9
Min. games decided by a single player:           0
Max. games still open for a single player:       9
Min. games still open for a single player:       0
Max. fraction of games done by a single player: 100.00%
Min. fraction of games done by a single player: 0.00%
Number of players having finished all games:    235 (10.52%)
Number of players having finished no games:     160 (7.17%)
-----------------------------------------------------------
Groups with all games finished:                  1 (0.45%)
Groups with no games finished:                   0 (0.00%)

disqualified
disqualified_weekly
progress
progress_weekly

For the first time the number of players having finished all games is greater than the number of players having finished no games.

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The trend for decided games is pretty linear, so far. Isn’t it?

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Warning: this is a useless, misleading and provoking post! :smiley:

I’ve sorted decided games by outcome, player’s colour and ranking.
A win is worth 1 point. A loss is worth 0 points.
Here is the average by playerranking.

Looks like stronger players are more likely to win than weaker players. :grin:
(useless)

It looks like stronger players are more likely to win as black, while weaker players are more likely to win as white.
(misleading)

The trend line is similar also with second degree polynomials:

What do you think?
Are actually stronger players more likely to win as black???
(provoking)

Edit: I forgot to say that dots size is number of games.

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I guess you are saying that it is “misleading” since timeouts would distort these statistics, especially given the large number of timeouts that have happened with no or few moves played.

Is the observed discrepancy statistically significant? If so, does it still remain so after controlling more for timeout distortions to the data?

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I’m calling myself misleading because data are too small and rough to be significant.
Biggest dot is 407 games.
Timeouts are a good amount.
Trend lines are a rough tool.
It’s anything but a serious study! :grin:

But it throws shades on komi fairness! :wink:
Should we adjust komi on ranks? :innocent:

:popcorn: :popcorn: :popcorn:

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Well, the groups were divided by strength, so at the start of the tournament nominally everyone within one group was (about) the same strength. So I would instead say: Looks like players who won more games increased in their rating. In terms of uselessness that can easily compete with your statement.

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Here is an alternative version of the previous chart.
No distinction between black and white.
Colour is for time (day of data sampling): the darker the farther.
I have absolutely no idea about this chart meaning (except for what @richyfourtytwo already wrote about gaining rank after a win) but I think it’s SOOOO good looking! :smiley:
I’m trying to learn how to do appealing charts.

Actually we could say that in some cases dots started far from trend line and moved towards it.

This is more noticeable if we look at just one colour.
Win ratio for black started low (presumably because of timeouts) and moved up:

Win ratio for white started high for the same reason, and moved down:

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