I would call that northwest group a mini-lizard at best, not a dragon.
White also has a weak group in the southeast, and Black has a huge moyo in the south.
Not counting this moyo and the weak groups, the two players’ territories seem about equal.
If the Black mini-lizard dies but Black’s moyo becomes territory, then Black wins.
If the Black mini-lizard survives and Black’s moyo doesn’t become territory, Black probably wins too.
If White kills the Black group in the northwest and survives with the White group in the southeast and completely destroys the Black moyo in the south, then yes, White will win. But that seems relatively unlikely.
(OGS’ ai analysis gives White 70% winrate at that point, though, so apparently the computer disagrees. But 40 moves later, once it’s clear the Black group is alive and White has no compensation, it gives 80% winrate to Black.)
Sumire made a 20+ point mistake. As you can see there’re two black’s groups trying not to be dead. Upper one can only have one eye by capturing two stones so gotta connect to the lefter stones. Middle one can connect to bottom by capturing two stones but black doesn’t have time.
Baffling because why did Ueno make such weak moves, or baffling because it wasn’t obvious that she would get beaten so badly? Ueno is one of my favorite players and kind of a role model in a way. I love and relate to her aggressive and intuitive style, which is for me the most fun way to play. But it does come with the downside of sometimes walking yourself into a heavy loss when you fail to do an accurate and timely reading…
He is 7d EGF with a rating around #10 in Europe, similar to the 1p EGF pros.
It seems he is not quite as strong as the 8d EGF Korean amateurs (also former yunguseng) currently playing in Europe: Kim Young-Sam, Hwang In-Seong and Kim Seong-Jin.